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Forex Market News & Analysis

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Our blog provides you access to the in-depth knowledge and expert opinions of City Index's market strategists, including Kathleen Brooks, Fawad Razaqzada, James Chen and Ken Odeluga.

  1. UK jobs reports, strong earnings fire up sterling

    UK jobs reports, strong earnings fire up sterling

    The positives of the UK jobs figures are broad-based as the unemployment rate –measured by the ILO– dropped for the 3rd straight month to reaching 5.7%–its lowest since August 2008. Earnings rose by 2.1% y/y in the 3 months ending in December, Read more

  2. Beyond low CPI & onto BoE, Fed minutes

    Beyond low CPI & onto BoE, Fed minutes

    UK consumer price inflation fell 0.3% in the year ending in January, posting its lowest level since 1960, but both the pound and gilt yields have rallied as the CPI figures were in line with the figures anticipated by the Bank of England’s quarterly inflation report, released last week. Read more

  3. USDCAD bulls beware as oil takes over

    USDCAD bulls beware as oil takes over

    Be careful when shorting the Canadian dollar. The Bank of Canada may have shocked the world with its first rate cut in six years due to the damage on the economy tumbling oil prices, but the loonie has shown its share of sharp rebounds ever since. Read more

  4. Sterling breaks out on hawkish Carney

    Sterling breaks out on hawkish Carney

    Ten-year gilt yields and sterling are both rallying as the Bank of England’s inflation report upgraded its view on both inflation and GDP growth, raising the former to 1.96% in 2 years from 1.8% in the November report and to 2.15% in 3 years from 1.95% in November. Read more

  5. GBP rallies ahead of BoE inflation report

    GBP rallies ahead of BoE inflation report

    We expect Thursday’s release of the BoE quarterly inflation report to be contradictory at best. This will be the first report issued after the two remaining hawkish members of the Monetary Policy Committee (McCafferty and Weale) gave up their five-month long dissent in favour of interest rate hikes. Read more

  6. China’s crashing imports assure more CNY depreciation

    China’s crashing imports assure more CNY depreciation

    The 19% y/y slump in China’s trade was the biggest decline since May 2009 and the seventh decrease over the last 12 months. The plunge in imports was the primary driver behind the new record high trade surplus of $60 bn as exports fell 3.3%, posting their first decline in 10 months. Read more

  7. US jobs soar, yen in focus

    US jobs soar, yen in focus

    Both the US dollar and bond yields surged following a robust US jobs report bolstered the case for a Fed rate hike to occur as early as June, according to fed funds futures. Read more

  8. Oil extends bounce, slamming USD

    Oil extends bounce, slamming USD

    Before addressing the overnight rate cut from the RBA and the outlook for the Aussie, it is worth mentioning the day’s violent price action, which was initiated by the 8% rebound in oil prices, leading the way for four straight daily gains, Read more

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